We Told You So
There’s no
drum roll for the unveiling of the #1 top story of 2013: the spectacular
collapse of ObamaCare. It’s a story so big there’s no suspense about
anything else coming close.
We had to wait three and a half years from the time it was passed for
ObamaCare to fully go into effect, and now we know the purpose of that
delay, don’t we? It wasn’t because they needed four years to implement
it, because they put off many key decisions about ObamaCare until after
last year’s election. No, they needed the delay so that we wouldn’t
“find out what’s in it” until after the election. Because if any of this
had happened before November 2012, do you think Barack Obama would be
sitting in the Oval Office right now?
Finding out what’s in it, to use Nancy Pelosi’s
infamous phrase, has been the big theme of this year.
Never was a disaster more predictable, or more widely predicted.
Possibly my own greatest moment of vindication as a writer is the fact
that I warned, in late 2009, that under ObamaCare “
You Will Lose Your Private Health Insurance.” Lo and behold, four years later, we’re losing it. And we’re
not happy
about it. That’s the big story to look for in 2014, by the way. I’m
already hearing stories about Democratic operative being approached in
public and told off by angry strangers who are livid at losing their
insurance.
The disaster started building very early in the year. In January, I
cited early reports that the Affordable Care Act was making insurance unaffordable.
The New York Times reports that “Health
insurance companies across the country are seeking and winning
double-digit increases in premiums for some customers, even though one
of the biggest objectives of the Obama administration’s health care law
was to stem the rapid rise in insurance costs for consumers.”
“Even though”? In fact, Obamacare is
simply doing what a lot of people predicted it would. Critics of
ObamaCare warned that it would produce precisely the kind of premium
increases we are now seeing, for precisely the reasons that new reports
are now citing.
I was one of those critics, and I take no joy in pointing out that we told you so.
I continued to document the cascading problems with ObamaCare
throughout the year, but they accelerated and increased in scope and
visibility when the ObamaCare website was officially launched on October
1.
The
result?
A lot of the opponents of ObamaCare
warned that putting government in charge would make health insurance
function like the Department of Motor Vehicles. If only.
But the big news was how central the website’s failure was to the law’s implementation.
ObamaCare is the law that Nancy Pelosi
had to pass so we could find out what’s in it. One of the things we’re
finding out is that the implementation of the whole program is totally
dependent on the design of its website—that healthcare.gov, along with
various online state exchanges, is the primary portal through which
people have to deal with ObamaCare and sign up for health insurance.
Which means that if the website fails, the whole program fails.
That is precisely what is happening.
I think that ObamaCare was ultimately intended to collapse. As I argued back in that 2009 article:
If the left’s goal is to impose
socialized medicine in America, this bill does it in the most callous
and destructive way possible. It smashes private health care-then leaves
us stranded in the rubble, at which point we will be expected to come
crawling back to the same people who caused the disaster and ask them to
save us.
The problem for the left is that ObamaCare was meant to fail
slowly,
in five to ten years—not so quickly and completely.
The most astonishing aspect of ObamaCare’s collapse is that President
Obama himself has been forced to liquidate it, delaying or suspending
the law one provision at a time. The process began in the middle of the
year. As I
proclaimed:
July 3 is looking like the day that ObamaCare died.
That was the day the administration
announced that it was delaying the employer mandate for a year. Since
the information was put out in a news dump at the beginning of a long
holiday weekend, it has taken a while to assess its significance. But
basically what this did was to break open the dam and cause a lot of
people to admit that ObamaCare has serious problems.
It gets worse. It turns out the
administration has known for months that major parts of ObamaCare
couldn’t be implemented, and White House spokesman Jay Carney won’t say
if there’s more bad news coming.
Now we know why: there was more bad news coming. A lot more.
So much of the law has dissolved on contact with reality that I eventually called it
VaporCare:
In Silicon Valley, they coined the term
“vaporware” to refer to companies that announce the upcoming launch of
new software that somehow never appears. This can happen for a variety
of reasons, from technical failures and changes in the market to shadier
practices: luring investors with false promises, or discouraging
upstart competitors from entering a field.
Now those dishonest practices have apparently been adopted by the Obama administration on a huge scale.
Over the holidays, Obama
selectively suspended the individual mandate, and extended a series of
rubber deadlines for final signups in the online health insurance exchanges.
A record two million people visited
HealthCare.gov on Monday, while state exchanges, too, experienced record
traffic and new applications ahead of the Dec. 23 deadline—which, at
the last minute, became a Dec. 24 deadline—to apply for health insurance
in order to have coverage in place by Jan. 1.
This was already an extended deadline
from Dec. 15, which was supposed to give insurance underwriters and
carriers just enough time to have their clients signed up and ready to
go for the start of the new year. But now they’re swamped with less than
a week to go.
It is easy to laugh at how panicked, pathetic, and desperate this all is, and this is an excellent opportunity to reinstate
Tracinski’s Rule of American Politics,
which states that “the left must be suppressed, hounded, mocked,
vilified, and made to feel ashamed of itself. The idea is that we need
to keep their heads down and keep them on the defensive, because the
moment they feel confident and emboldened, they will attempt to take
away
all of our liberties.”
But it is also very ominous, because these suspensions and constantly
changing deadlines indicate that there is no law any more, just
presidential edicts.
George Will described the president’s habit of announcing changes to the law at press conferences and
complained that he is effectively treating the White House press room as a third chamber of the legislature. Will eloquently
sums up ObamaCare as “a tapestry of coercions mitigated by random acts of presidential mercy.”
Or as I
put it way back in July:
ObamaCare is not really a law. It is an
open-ended grant of power and a set of vague guidelines and aspirations,
with all of the details to be filled in by the executive branch.
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