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Affidavit: White House birth certificate is a forgery

Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, high priest of climate skepticism, advised Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, wrote leaders for the Yorkshire Post, was editor of the Catholic paper The Universe, managing editor of the Telegraph Sunday Magazine, assistant editor of Today, and consulting editor of the Evening Standard. He invented the million-selling "Eternity Puzzles," "Sudoku X" and a promising treatment for infections. See the Science & Public Policy Institute.

Affidavit

I, the undersigned Christopher Walter Monckton, commonly known as the Viscount Monckton of Brenchley, Peer of the Realm, of 27 Queen Street, Edinburgh, EH2 1JX, being first duly sworn, do hereby state under oath and under penalty of perjury that the facts are true:

1) I am over the age of 18 and am a resident of the United Kingdom. The information herein is based upon my own personal knowledge. If called as a witness, I could testify competently thereto. I have a degree in classical architecture from Cambridge University. The course included instruction in mathematics. I am the director of Monckton Enterprises Ltd., a consultancy corporation which, inter alia, has investigated scientific frauds at government level, one of the matters on which I advised Margaret Thatcher from 1982-1986 at 10 Downing Street during her time as prime minister. I have published several papers in the reviewed literature on climate science and economics and was an expert reviewer for the “Fifth Assessment Report”(2013) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. I was that year’s Nerenberg Lecturer in Mathematics at the University of Western Ontario, Canada. I hold the Meese-Noble Award for Freedom and the Intelligence Medal of the Army of Colombia for my research on climate change.

2) I have experience in the use of certain mathematical techniques which allow rigorous and impartial assessment of probabilities including the probability that a deliberate deception has been perpetrated. For instance, while working for Margaret Thatcher, I was approached by an inventor who said a government department had stolen his invention. The department responded to my inquiries with lengthy answers which contained six scientific errors each of which might conceivably have arisen by inadvertence. The errors came from different sources and were unrelated to one another. Each was elementary. I concluded that the probability that the errors had been inadvertent was small, and that the department had indeed stolen the invention. The inventor went to court and was awarded more than $1 million. In 2007, I was asked to provide scientific testimony on whether Al Gore’s climate movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,”contained accidental or deliberate errors. I identified 36 errors, each of which either stated that there was a problem where none existed or that a problem that might exist was worse than it was. The judge accepted that the probability that all of the errors would have fallen by accident in one direction only was very small. The plaintiff, a lorry-driver who had not wanted his two schoolchildren to be subjected to political propaganda at school, was awarded $400,000 costs. The judge said, “The Armageddon scenario that he [Gore] depicts is not based on any scientific view,” and said he would have banned the film from all schools in England and Wales had the Department of Education not offered to circulate 77 pages of corrective guidance to all schools.

3) I am asked to give expert testimony on the probability, taking into account the results of a law-enforcement investigation by the Cold Case Posse acting for the Sheriff of Maricopa County, Arizona, that the document purporting to be a digital photographic image of an original paper long-form Hawaiian birth certificate for President Obama that was personally endorsed by him at a press conference on April 27, 2011, and was thereupon posted on the White House website, is an image of a genuine original document. I rely on the findings published by investigators acting at the instance of the Sheriff of Maricopa County, Arizona, in two press conferences, given on 1 March and 17 July 2012 respectively, and on information subsequently provided to me by the investigators. At the second press conference, the sheriff said he was now certain that the White House document was a forgery. Based on the findings of the law-enforcement investigation, I have conducted a probability analysis to establish the likelihood that the White House document is genuine.

4) Where a document contains what appear to be irregularities, they may have arisen by inadvertence or by design. Probability theory assists in evaluating the likelihood that all of the irregularities were indeed inadvertent.
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