Monday, November 1, 2010

The Governors' Races

While much of our attention has been focused on the House and Senate forecasts for the impending final vote on Tuesday, another very important branch of the race is happening across the country.

There are 38 governor races to be decided this election, with some very close races going to the wire. Minnesota is probably the closest race with Emmeer(R) and Dayton(D) in a dead heat fore casted with 38% of the vote each, with third party candidates getting 15% and undecideds 9%.

Having a Governor of a certain party affiliation doesn't always mean that's the way a state will stand on an issue, but it helps more than than it hurts.

Current forecasting is predicting 31 states will be headed by a republican, 18 by a democrat and 1 (Rhode Island) by a left leaning independent.

I was in New England two months ago, and Rhode Island was putting together a bi-partisan effort to stop the illegal immigrate drain on the state budget. As a small state, only a few thousand illegals were running up an assistance tab of some $350 million annually for the approximate 400,000 taxpayers of R.I.

ObamaCare will further put a strain on all states excluding 5 or 6 exempted kickback states, whenever the federal government demands the states pay an incresed share of medicare benefits. Arizona with a very large retirement population will be hit extremely hard. Adding to Arizona's already high costs attributed to illegals.

Thirty One states should be very receptive to calling for a national convention to amend the constitution by the rights granted under Article V. Should there not be a sufficient 2/3rds majority in the Senate to over ride Obama's illegal veto, the chances of a repeal amendment coming from Washington D.C. would be non existent.

The States could call for an amending of the constitution if there are 34 (2/3rds) willing states, but it would take 38 (3/4ths) to ratify any agreed to ObamaCare repeal amendment. To repeal ObamaCare this means 7 of 18 blue states would need to join with all 31 red states.

Here's a group of blue state governorships that might vote for such a repeal amendment - Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Arkansas,New Hampshire, Missouri, Kentucky and North Carolina. Massachusetts is included because they already have a seriously flawed state run health insurance, whose residents are more than ready to end it, or anything like it.

Four states which are economic basket cases that should vote against ObamaCare that won't because of either their welfare mentality or because of the union backed Left are Michigan, California, Illinois and New York. Should ObamaCare survive the court challenges, these 4 just mentioned states will look to the other 46 to pay their way via unending bail outs.

As you cheer the Red State, senate and house gains Tuesday evening, keep in mind we need at least 38 big G's or as close to that number as we can get, just in case we need to go the Article V route.

Steve

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